Thursday, September 03, 2015

The willfully stupid

The question is no longer how uniformed are Americans, it's how willfully stupid they are.


An editorial last month noted the blame for Iraq's current problems could be spread equally ("Shared Blame") and presented four key events:



1. President Bush’s decision to invade, based on flawed intelligence, with more wishful thinking about “liberating” Iraq than realistic planning for what was likely to happen once Saddam Hussein was overthrown. 

2. The decision of J. Paul Bremer, the leader of the U.S. occupation, to disband the Iraqi army and police and oust all Baath Party members from the government. This generated chaos overnight, and the people Bremer fired became the backbone of the Sunni insurgency and the leaders of ISIS. 


3. The decision in 2010 to throw the weight of the U.S. behind the re-election of Maliki, the Iranian-backed candidate for president, even though Maliki came in second in the Iraq election. Hillary Clinton likely had a voice in that decision, but Maliki’s biggest backer in the administration was Vice President Joe Biden. Maliki became even more punitive toward the Sunnis after the election. 


4. The decision to go through with the full withdrawal in 2011 rather than try to amend the timetable President Bush had signed. Maliki and the Iranians wanted the U.S. out, and so did Obama. But many argue a residual force might have helped restrain Maliki and stave off the loss of territory to ISIS.


Let's deal with the first aspect.

The morons whining to the Cape Cod Times about 'their' editorial?

August 29th is when that publication ran the editorial.

You can find it at many other publications going back to August 13th.

(We highlighted it weeks ago from another publication.)

That doesn't stop the faux outrage or the parade of morons.

Two examples.



1) "To compare the criminal invasion in 2003 and the clueless incompetence of Paul Bremer’s decision to expel the Baathists with Obama’s decision not to remain in Iraq (a decision made by Iraq, a sovereign nation, in case you forgot) is just plain ridiculous." --  Philip Panasci


2)  "First of all, you set up the straw dog of four equal decision points. The basic fallacy is that the first two — the decision to invade and the breaking and expulsion of the military and Baath Party — are far and away the most critical factors leading to the current mess." -- Robert Bucchianeri

Presumably both blow hards are Americans.

This would mean they understand the concept of democracy and elections.

In fact, if the editorial was about the stolen 2000 US election, I have a feeling both would insist on weighing in.

But somehow a 2010 Iraq election being stolen isn't an issue to them.


For years, starting in 2010, we argued that this was a huge mistake, that this would have implications, that the smart thing for the US to do was to stand by the election outcome.  But the White House (Barack is president in 2010, for those who can't remember) decided to back the loser in the election, Nouri al-Maliki.

They didn't back the Iraqi voters.

Nor did it end there.

To give Nouri a second term (after he lost the election), the US brokered a legal contract (The Erbil Agreement) that went around the Iraqi Constitution.  The political leaders signed off because the US got concessions from Nouri (promises) that the leaders wanted.

Barack personally called Ayad Allawi when Allawi's bloc walked out on a Parliament session.  He repeated that The Erbil Agreement had the full support of the White House.

Despite that, Barack never forced Nouri to comply.


After using The Erbil Agreement to get his second term, Nouri then had his spokesperson announce that the contract itself was illegal and unconstitutional.  Nouri used that to avoid meeting the legal promises he made in the contract.

All of that's pretty major.

And that's before we even bring up that Nouri's secret prisons and torture cells were known by the start of 2010.  They'd been exposed by Ned Parker and the Los Angeles Times, among others.  Nouri was a thug.  But Chris Hill, then US ambassador to Iraq, argued this was what Iraq needed.


These are not minor points.

In 2010, most ignored these realities.

As Nouri's second term progressed, it became harder to ignore.

When Nouri attempted to grab a third term, even Barack had to say "no."  And even the press had to get honest.  This is no longer hidden.  And the editorial raises it.

But by then (2014), Nouri's actions had created a climate where IS could foster and breed.

Forgetting all of that or setting it aside, how dare any American claim that a foreign government (the US) overthrowing Iraq's election is a minor thing or unimportant.

As various Latin American countries can attest, a foreign government overthrowing an election is never a minor thing.



The e-mail address for this site is common_ills@yahoo.com.

 




















Wednesday, September 02, 2015

Iraq snapshot

Wednesday, September 2, 2015.  Chaos and violence continue, Haider al-Abadi blames officials for crimes and calls them terrorists, Baiji is again lost, more reports of US forces on the ground in Iraq (not on bases), the White House may ignore the legal obligation to the Ashraf community but the community is not forgotten, and much more.




AFP reports, "Gunmen kidnapped at least 18 Turkish employees of a company building a football stadium in Baghdad on Wednesday, officials said, but it was not immediately clear who was holding them."  NINA notes the kidnapping took place in the Sadr section of Baghdad. And, of course and no surprise, First Post adds of the assailants, "Masked men in military uniforms kidnapped 18 Turkish employees of an Ankara-based construction company in Baghdad early Wednesday, bundling them into several SUVs and speeding away, Iraqi and Turkish officials said."

But never accuse the military or the militia in Iraq -- not even when it turns out it was them.  Ignore that fact in every subsequent report and just continue to pretend there's a mad tailor in Baghdad churning out impostor  uniforms.

Iraq Times notes a Baghdad police source states that armed militia (which one is unidentified) stole the 3 SUVs earlier that day.  All Iraq News reports Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi responded by declaring this was all a conspiracy by "corrupted officials"  while Kitabat notes he vowed to pursue the wrong doers as terrorists.

Alsumaria reports Baghdad Operations Command issued a statement announcing they were opening an investigation into the kidnappings.


Among today's other violence, Alsumaria notes 1 attorney and his nephew were shot dead outside Baquba,






In Friday's snapshot, we were noting the lack of progress in the fight against the Islamic State.  It's even worse today.  It's no longer just that the year-plus campaign that's failed to retake Mosul and seen Ramadi seized.


There's Baiji.  Strategy Page notes:

The government also admits that the ongoing battle with ISIL near the oil refinery at Baiji (on the Tigris River between Baghdad and Mosul 200 kilometers north of Baghdad) is crucial. Security forces have been unable to keep ISIL away from the refinery. The ISIL attacks generally involve suicide car bombs and gunmen. These attacks are usually repulsed within a few hours. ISIL seems willing to suffer as many as several hundreds of casualties a week with these attacks. ISIL has been fighting here since mid-2014 and despite being defeated and pushed back many times, keeps returning with suicide bombers and mobs of suicidal gunmen. This year all these ISIL offensives have been repulsed but the security forces are so far unable to push the Islamic terrorists far enough away to restart refinery operations. The Beiji refinery can process 320,000 barrels of oil a day and that represents more than a quarter of Iraq's refining capacity. Until ISIL is cleared out of Baiji a major advance on Mosul will not be practical. 





Haider was in DC when Baiji was threatened (the oil refinery -- not in use -- was overtaken by the Islamic State) and when the Islamic State made it's move on Ramadi, the capital of Anbar Province.

What to do, what to do, Haider apparently debated.

Before sending the Iraqi military to Baiji to 'protect' a basically abandoned oil refinery.


The people of Ramadi?

He would wait and wait before sending the Iraqi military there.

Reminder, Ramadi fell to the Islamic State and remains under IS control.


Well, he didn't save the people but at least Haider saved that oil refinery, right?



Uh, no.











  • Of the efforts to defeat the Islamic State, Strategy Page notes:




    Some members of the American led coalition providing air support are openly questioning the tactics and procedures being used. There are accusations from within the American intelligence community that political leaders are hiding the truth about how the restrictive ROE (Rules of Engagement) are crippling the air offensive against ISIL in Iraq and Syria. Another problem with the use of more ground control teams is the American political leadership wanting to put more of them on the ground while American military commanders believe that the risk of these U.S. troops getting killed or captured outweighs the benefits of more precise air strikes. That's because the ROE is obsessed with avoiding any civilian losses from air strikes and ISIL exploits this by regularly using human shields.
    Meanwhile the United States and Britain have very quietly brought in more special operations troops to fight ISIL in the "ISIL Homeland" of western Iraq and eastern Syria. The American and British commandos in Syria have apparently been operating together on raids, scouting missions and assisting the local Kurds and other armed anti-ISIL groups. One reason for keeping the commando presence quiet is that it is largely concerned with collecting more intelligence on ISIL. This means interviewing locals who deal with ISIL and observing ISIL operations in areas ISIL believes they are safe. The commandos want to make those areas less safe and, sooner rather than later, free of ISIL presence. Many of the locals agree with that.



    So US forces, as Al Mada had previously reported, are on the ground accompanying Iraqi forces on missions?

    It would appear so.


    Saturday's snapshot noted:

    In addition, Wael Grace (Al Mada) reported this week on what the people of Nineveh Province were seeing: US forces joining Iraqi forces in combat.
    The residents say this is not 'consulting' or 'advising' but that US forces are actually taking part in on the ground combat.



    So with Grace's report and Strategy Page, is there a reason the US press isn't noting that US forces are on the ground in Iraq -- off 'training bases' -- and taking part in military exercises?



    Before US President Barack Obama began bombing Iraq from US warplanes in August of last year, he'd already publicly declared (June 14, 2014) that the only answer to Iraq's various crises was a political solution.

    Then came August 2014 and, of course, he forgot all about that and just focused on dropping bombs.


    Look who's picking up Barack's slack.










  • As previously noted in the last months, Ammar al-Hakim is already powerful via his leadership of the Shi'ite political organization the Supreme Islamic Council of Iraq.

    He was also seen as a US ally for years.

    Then something happened in the summer of 2014 which caused a break.

    Some say Ammar did not feel the administration courted his opinion, others say he was upset that the US didn't back him to be the new prime minister (instead going with Haider al-Abadi).

    Whether it was either of those, both or some other reasons, the US and Ammar experienced a public break that, had the State Dept not wasted all their time on Iran, could have been fixed.

    Instead it festered and, for the first time in his public career, Ammar began publicly criticizing the US government.

    This has taken place over months and in public and the US State Dept has done nothing to rectify it.

    And now there are rumors that the powerful Shi'ite bloc the National Alliance is on the verge of naming Ammar its leader.  As the leader of SICI, he's already powerful.  Were he to be named head of the National Alliance, he would be arguably the most powerful political leader in Iraq.



    And the US government?

    Unable to even keep basic promises or follow the law.

    I'm referring to the Ashraf community now.

    When Saddam Hussein ruled Iraq, a number of dissident Iranians came to Iraq.  They were part of the Socialist MEK group.  They were considered criminals in Iran for their political goals and aims.

    Saddam protected them.

    When the US invaded in 2003, the US government asked them to disarm.

    They resided on Camp Ashraf -- hence their being known as the Ashraf community -- and because they disarmed, they fell under the Geneva Conventions -- they became protected people with a legal obligation on the part of the US government to ensure their protection.

    Barack has repeatedly looked the other way as the Ashraf community has been attacked.  They were forcibly moved to Camp Liberty.  They have continued to be attacked there.

    At least 7 were kidnapped by Iranian forces -- and all the State Dept's Brett McGurk could do was spin and lie when Congress asked him about it.

    There is no protection for the Ashraf community despite the fact that the US government is legally obligated to protect them.

    (This obligation is only in force while they are in Iraq.  The US could quickly relocate the remaining members to other countries and be done with the legal obligation.)


    Not everyone is as silent as the White House:




  • on September first of 2013 by 'i agents =crime against humanity


  • 2years after / keep silence on the faith of 7 abducted MMB
























  • Verdicts (or just gas baggery) are being rendered

    Hasan Kanbolat (Today's Zaman) offers a dire prediction:


    Life is over for Sunni Arabs and Turkmens in Iraq. The Sunni Arabs and Turkmens who live in the north, the west and the center of Iraq have been forced to pick either the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) or the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG).
    In the south of Iraq, they face Shiite pressure. ISIL is a Sunni organization; but because it is based on a hybrid Salafi ideology, it is against Sunni-Hanafi and Sunni Shafi interpretations of Islam. For ISIL, Iraqi Sunnis are enemies that should be destroyed. The cultural and religious past and identity of Iraqi Sunnis is being eradicated. For this reason, ISIL destroys all tombs and shrines. Daily life is becoming ever harder for Iraqi Sunnis. They are forced to live under the domination of others. There is no longer stability and security. The future is entirely bleak.


    Meanwhile Thomas E. Ricks (Foreign Policy) insists:

    The surge did not win the war, but it did achieve a truce. Had Shiite leadersused that truce to reach out to Sunnis and try to chart a generous course forward, they might have emerged in triumph. Obviously, easier said than done. And I know that Shiite elements might have reacted murderously to anyone attempting this sort of outreach. But this sort of difficult reconciliation has been achieved in other countries in the past.
    Instead, Iraq’s leaders, whenever faced with a decision in recent years, have chosen the narrower, exclusionary way forward. Rather than try to create a new Iraq, they seem to have gone with old ways and allied with Iran.

    What did they expect to happen as a result? I don’t know, but the current dismal situation seems to be the natural result of what the leaders of the Shiites have done​.


    We should probably explain, as someone does, that this a re-post from a May post by Ricks because his blog "is in summer reruns."


    Summer reruns don't really exist the way they did when Ricks was a small boy -- well, when he was a boy.


    He's taken the summer off in an apparent effort to compete in Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest.  He was hoping to win this July 4th but they disqualified him since he was swallowing the dogs whole and not chewing them.

    Depressed, he's wandered the eastern seaboard ever since waiting for the end of summer and the hope that no one, after Labor Day, would ask him, "Hey, fat ass, did you win that contest?"


    At any rate, we've got one person fretting the end of Iraq for Sunnis and Turkmen and another insisting that whatever's taking place in Iraq -- whatever it is -- it's the fault of the Shi'ites and (check the headline to Tommy Trash's piece) not the fault of Barack.

    Those pesky Iraqis!  Failing the world like that!


    But, question, how did the Shi'ites get in charge?

    Because they weren't voted in.

    Who, in Iraq, would be rushing to vote for one of the many cowards who fled the country and stayed away for ten years or more, only returning after the US-led invasion of 2003?

    I mean, in California, if some coward fled the state while we were under siege and we managed without him only to see him return after the tyrant (or Ahnuld) was overthrown, I wouldn't vote them into leadership.  I'd probably point to them with scorn and as a cautionary tale of what not to do.

    But all the Shi'ite cowards returned.

    With US protection.

    And instead of trusting native Iraqis who'd chosen to stay, the US rewarded these cowards -- many of whom, unable to fight for Iraq themselves, fed the US government lies to get it to fight for them -- by putting them in government positions.

    Thomas Ricks is amazed that a group would seek revenge.

    What else do cowards do?

    They are cowards who fled the country and now that the US puts them in charge, they want revenge and (mis)use the power the US has given them to do just that.

    It's not surprising.


    Nor is it the fault of Iraqis.

    It is the fault of Bully Boy Bush.

    And, yes, Tommy's beau Barack Obama.

    Bully Boy Bush insisted Nouri al-Maliki become the prime minister in 2006.

    The 2010 elections were supposed to -- by their results -- push Nouri out of the post of prime minister.  He retained it because Barack wanted him to.

    The position of the White House was that Iraq needed a "strongman" (thug).

    And Nouri did fit that criteria.

    Emma Sky, Gen Ray Odierno and others argued against it.

    But that's what the White House wanted.

    So it's a bit hard to figure how Barack's not to blame.

    Thomas E. Ricks clearly mastered his gag reflex but it's a shame facts still challenge him.


    AFP reports, "Gunmen kidnapped at least 18 Turkish employees of a company building a football stadium in Baghdad on Wednesday, officials said, but it was not immediately clear who was holding them."



    And, of course and no surprise, First Post adds of the assailants, "Masked men in military uniforms kidnapped 18 Turkish employees of an Ankara-based construction company in Baghdad early Wednesday, bundling them into several SUVs and speeding away, Iraqi and Turkish officials said."

    But never accuse the military or the militia in Iraq -- not even when it turns out it was them.  Ignore that fact in every subsequent report and just continue to pretend there's a mad tailor in Baghdad churning out impostor  uniforms.


    The following community sites updated:








  • Plus Mike's "Iraq Tweet" which isn't showing yet.


    The e-mail address for this site is common_ills@yahoo.com.