Monday, May 14, 2018

Iraq snapshot

Monday, May 14, 2018.

Saturday, Iraq held parliamentary elections.

The big winner so far?  Shi'ite cleric and movement leader Moqtada al-Sadr.


“He went to the elections without any bodyguards.” Congratulations to Syed Muqtada on the great victory in the elections. We will never forget the millions of martyrs that the Syed sacrificed in order to protect Iraq against the cowardly ISIS . Look at his simple clothing♥️
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In early returns, Moqtada's coalition is the largest vote getter.




Surprises in there?

Well yes and no.

Not a surprise?  How poorly Hayder al-Abadi did.

It has to be humiliating for the press whores who lied repeatedly and insisted that he was going to win and win big.  Remember those claims? 

And some sourced them to the 'poll' -- a poll, really?

There were actual polls but, as we repeatedly noted, that thing that had no margin of error was not a poll.  But they did turn it into propaganda to argue Hayder was going to win big -- which, surprisingly? -- just happened to be what the US government wanted.

Who paid the checks to journalists in the lead up to Saturday's vote?  Seems like a large number of them were on the payroll of the US government.


We didn't pimp that lie, we called it out.  We also didn't pimp the lie of Iraqis eager to vote.  We noted the reality of a system that remains the same election after election as well as the 2010 election when Iraqis voted for change and rejected Nouri al-Mali only to see Barack Obama overturn the election results via The Erbil Agreement.

It can be argued that the 2014 turnout was because of the Islamic State.  In the face of this threat, Iraqis turned out to vote (a) to rid the country of Nouri as prime minister since he was the mid-wife to ISIS and (b) to present a national identity via a national action (voting) in the face of ISIS.

With Hayder repeatedly insisting ISIS was defeated (it's not defeated, it remains active in Iraq) a large reason to vote vanished.  And we are seeing the effects of 2010 when Nouri lost the election but refused to step down -- for over eight months -- and the US government elected to back him leading to The Erbil Agreement where all the leaders agreed to give Nouri a second term -- in exchange for concessions from him.  Though you can stop the previous sentence at "second term" because Nouri used the contract to get his second term and then refused to abide by any of the promises he made in the contract.  That was typical Nouri.  Barack overturning the results in 2010 was a major event for Iraqis -- even if Americans elected to look the other way and pretend nothing was taking place.



    1. End of conversation


Margaret Griffis (ANTIWAR.COM) notes what took place Saturday:


At least 16 were killed, and 19 were wounded:
North of Tikrit in Mes’Hag, four militiamen were killed and three were wounded when a bomb exploded as they were making their rounds.
Near Kirkuk in Khan, a bomb killed three people. Two of them were voters and the third was an observer.
Three people were injured by mortar fire in Islah.
Near Mosul, militiamen are accused of injuring two members of the Kurdistan Democratic Party (K.D.P.)
P.U.K. forces were accused of injuring two journalists from Kurdistan TV in Sulaimaniya.
Militia forces are also accused of shooting and wounding a civilian trying to reach the polls in Jalawla.



Check out the western press and search in vain for any reports of violence.  They all somehow missed it -- Jane Arraf, how do you manage to miss every issue of importance with regards to Iraq and still call yourself a "reporter"?


Most Iraqis eligible to vote elected to sit this one out.

AP pointed out, "No election since 2003 saw turnout below 60 percent."  AFP noted, "More than half of the nearly 24.5 million voters did not show up at the ballot box in the parliamentary election, the highest abstention rate since the first multiparty elections in 2005 [. . .]."

So this turnout was historically low.


Martin Chulov (GUARDIAN) reported:



But as voters trudged towards polling stations, there was none of the euphoria of previous polls – where purple ink-dipped fingers were happily displayed – and almost no energy surrounding the process. Iraqis had done it all before, and elections had delivered little. Election monitors outnumbered voters at several polling stations in west Baghdad. “I’m just doing my duty,” said Samira Ahmed in the suburb of Mansour. “We hope it will lead to something, but we doubt it,” said a second woman.


And there were conflicts.  REUTERS noted, "The governor of Iraq’s Kirkuk province declared a curfew on Saturday and ordered a manual recount of votes there in the national election, saying an electronic counting system had produced an 'illogical' result."  But the biggest conflict was in Sulaimani where the Talabani's PUK claimed victory. RUDAW reported that basically every other party running in that province disputed that claim.  The Coalition for Democracy and Justice stated that "large scale fraud has been committed."  The KRG's second most popular party, Goran (Change) says there's no way the PUK won in that region. Komal also says it couldn't have happened and that "we will not abide to those results."  The Kurdistan Islamic Union and the Kurdistan Communist Party also state there's no way the PUK could have won.  The KDP says the results indicate "systematic fraud."  The KDP is the most prominent political party in the KRG.



  1. Elections Results Update: •Muqatada Sadr & Abadi LEADING •Celebrations in Baghdad calling for Iran “out” •Preliminary Results= Win for moderates, enforce engagement with Arab States •Muqtada Sadr visited Saudi & UAE last year Developing...




We'll note the thoughts of someone I frequently disagree with:





It will be interesting to see the final results.  So far, only Ayad Allawi is calling for a full recount -- other cries for recounts from political figures focus on this or that province.



  1. These ludicrous smear tactics show exactly how pro-war propaganda works today: if you oppose murderous US wars that empower fascist Salafi extremist groups, destroy states, and unleash terror on millions of civilians—from Iraq to Syria—you're smeared as "an apologist for fascism"



It's really sad how every event in Iraq becomes some sort of weapon for Eli Lake -- some way to justify the illegal war.




Kat's "Kat's Korner: Dashboard Confessional knows it's gonna be alright" went up yesterday.







Sunday, May 13, 2018

The Moqtada Also Rises

Moqtada al-Sadr was once a militia leader in Iraq.  Do not think I am very much impressed by that as a  title, but it meant a lot to Moqtada.  He cared nothing for militias, in fact he disliked them, but he pursued the leadership painfully and thoroughly to counteract the feeling of inferiority and shyness he had felt on being treated as a Shi'ite in Saddam Hussein's Sunni-favored Iraq. . . .

Skipping on from chapter one to the section of the book where Iraq holds the 2018 elections and cleric and movement leader Moqtada does quite well, Tamer El-Ghobshy and Mustafa Salim (WASHINGTON POST) report:


An electoral ticket backed by the influential Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr emerged as the early front-runner in Iraq’s elections, according to preliminary results released late Sunday, dealing a significant blow to the reelection campaign of Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi.
If the results hold, Sadr, a strident critic of the United States who commands a militia that fought American troops during the occupation of Iraq, could be in pole position to determine Iraq’s next leader. Sadr did not run in the election but holds sway over the electoral ticket that has defied predictions by amassing the largest number of votes across 10 of country’s 18 provinces.
Sadr’s coalition, called Sairoon, won by a large margin in the capital, Baghdad, which accounts for the most number of seats in Iraq’s 329-seat parliament. A ticket led by the commander of a Shiite militia close to Iran came in second.

It will be interesting to see what happens next.  (First paragraph, for those who missed it, is a reworking of the opening of Ernest Hemingway's THE SUN ALSO RISES.)


The following community sites updated:



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  • Kat's Korner: Dashboard Confessional knows it's gonna be alright

    Kat:  "We never learned to keep our voices down, no, we only learned to shout, so we fight our way in,"  Chris Carrabba announces on "We Fight," the opener to Dashboard Confessional's CROOKED SHADOWS album.


    dashconfess

     For some Dashboard conjures memories of unity in the dark halls of music clubs or the dark walls of your own room.

    That feeling of isolated communion is as evident in "Catch You" as the incredible drumming.

    Turn on the shadow
    Knows the light
    Expose the darkest hole
    In confidence, you hold for you
    And yours to keep alone
    But I heard the story goes a little less
    Like what you told
    Well I'm no angel
    But I am willing to watch over you
    It's a long way up
    To fall all the way down
    But when you are ready
    I will be waiting
    To catch you
    To catch you
    To catch you
    I'll catch you
    To catch you



    When Dashboard Confessional really cooks, it's the best gumbo on the stove's front burner.

    For me, CROOKED SHADOWS was about stomped on joy and a disregard for music about avoidance and anger.

    And that had nothing to do with the group or the album.

    It was February 17th and the new album was about a week old.  I loved it.  Everyone I knew loved it.  It was a Saturday and, come Sunday, I'd be writing a rave on it.  Right after this wedding was over.

    See my friend Sumner was getting married.  Maggie was there, Dak-Ho, Toni and so many more.  It was a cute ceremony (I'm trying to be kind -- or what passes for it from me).  The bride looked . . . interesting.

    Toni had just come from the receiving line and wanted to know, "Where's that ____ from?"

    Was it a French accent?  Australian?  Italian?  Who was this crazy?  Tina Arena?

    Yorba Linda, I explained.  I'd already been told that despite -- or because of -- the woman's heavily affected accent, she was actually born in and grew up in Yorba Linda.  I kind of pictured her using that ridiculous speaking voice as she walked tour groups through The Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum.

    When I went through the receiving line, she'd introduced herself to me as a "college professor" which probably made many think of universities and advanced education but, turns out, she was just a community junior college instructor who barely had a B.A. -- apparently she majored in snobbery with a minor in bitchy.

    That became clear when the music started playing.  No, I had nothing to do with the selection.  That was left to Sumner's best man (also his younger brother).  Whether it was Atlantic Starr, Sting, Bruno Mars, Sade, Whitney Houston or Pharrell, Bridezilla looked glum and grim.  When Dashboard Confessional's "Stolen" came on, she exited the dance area with a "Oh, hell no."

    What followed was a loud, ten minute diatribe directed at -- and spat at -- Sumner's brother in front of one and all.

    Why didn't he know that Dashboard Confessional was the chief purveyor of emo and that emo was among the most sexist forms of music and that Chris Carrabella was the most sexist of all?

    The most sexist?

    Of all?

    Apparently Bridezilla missed Lil' Wayne explaining the basic meal plan of his gal ("All she ever eat is dick") or Eminem explaining how to handle a bad relationship ("I got 99 problems and a bitch ain't one, she's all 99 of 'em, I need a machine gun") let alone DMX breaking it down ("Tryin to send the bitch back to her maker, and if you got a daughter older then 15, I'mma rape her, take her on the living room floor, right there in front of you, then ask you seriously, whatchu wanna do?") -- to cite but a few.

    On and on she went about how Dashboard Confessional presented an idealized and superficial woman in every one of their songs.

    First off, while not the best way to do a character study, it's equally true that there is far worse than idealized and superficial -- unless you think DMX raping your daughter "on the living room floor" is just another way of saying, "Howdy neighbor!"  Second, we do get what emo is, right?  It's an exploration of self.  Everyone but the self will be secondary in an emo song.  That's just how it is.  What is emo but the Temple of Apollo at Delphi with a backbeat ("Know thyself and thou shalt know the universe and the gods")?

    Did I say any of that to Bridezella?

    Hell, I didn't even say it to Sumner.  I just bit my tongue knowing these things tend to work themselves out and put my plan to review CROOKED SHADOWS on hold.


    It's a nine track album, nine strong tracks.

    "Heart Beat Here" may be the strongest track of all




    And I can write that and the above because it's true.  Also true, Sumner filed for divorce last week.  Some things -- like good music -- last while other things -- like bad relationships -- die out.  Or, as Chris sings on track eight, "I know, gonna be alright."